Mother of All deals

After two decades of deadlocks, India and the EU sealed their landmark Free Trade Agreement on January 27, 2026—hailed as the "mother of all deals" by PM Modi and EU chief von der Leyen. This pact unlocks a colossal $27 trillion market for 2 billion people, slashing tariffs on 99.5% of goods and supercharging the existing $136 billion bilateral trade. India scores massive wins here. Zero duties on textiles, gems, leather, seafood, and footwear will storm Europe's $263 billion apparel market, potentially adding $4.5 billion in annual exports. Pharma, chemicals, and engineering gain prime access, with EU exports to India expected to double by 2032—while key sectors like dairy and autos stay somewhat shielded at first. But not everyone's cheering. Indian carmakers like Tata are sweating a 250,000-unit EU import quota at just 10% tariffs, down from 110%, threatening local turf. Liquor heavyweights—United Spirits, Radico—face a flood of cheaper European wine (from 150% to 30%) and spirits, already hitting shares hard. Profit scenario? GDP lifts 0.43% for India, jobs explode, supply chains shift from China amid US tariff woes—a bull run. Loss side? Fierce competition crushes SMEs, ratification stalls benefits. Still, it's a net strategic victory for growth. Ratification by mid-2026 will tell the tale.
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